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(2007) Synthese 156 (3).

Reasoning about the future

doom and beauty

Dennis Dieks

pp. 427-439

According to the Doomsday Argument we have to rethink the probabilities we assign to a soon or not so soon extinction of mankind when we realize that we are living now, rather early in the history of mankind. Sleeping Beauty finds herself in a similar predicament: on learning the date of her first awakening, she is asked to re-evaluate the probabilities of her two possible future scenarios.

Publication details

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-006-9132-y

Full citation:

Dieks, D. (2007). Reasoning about the future: doom and beauty. Synthese 156 (3), pp. 427-439.

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