(2007) Synthese 156 (3).

Likelihoodism, Bayesianism, and relational confirmation

Branden Fitelson

pp. 473-489

Likelihoodists and Bayesians seem to have a fundamental disagreement about the proper probabilistic explication of relational (or contrastive) conceptions of evidential support (or confirmation). In this paper, I will survey some recent arguments and results in this area, with an eye toward pinpointing the nexus of the dispute. This will lead, first, to an important shift in the way the debate has been couched, and, second, to an alternative explication of relational support, which is in some sense a “middle way” between Likelihoodism and Bayesianism. In the process, I will propose some new work for an old probability puzzle: the “Monty Hall” problem.

Publication details

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-006-9134-9

Full citation:

Fitelson, B. (2007). Likelihoodism, Bayesianism, and relational confirmation. Synthese 156 (3), pp. 473-489.

This document is unfortunately not available for download at the moment.