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(2009) Synthese 166 (1).
Gott (Nature 363:315–319, 1993) considers the problem of obtaining a probabilistic prediction for the duration of a process, given the observation that the process is currently underway and began a time t ago. He uses a temporal Copernican principle according to which the observation time can be treated as a random variable with uniform probability density. A simple rule follows: with a 95% probability,
Publication details
DOI: 10.1007/s11229-007-9259-5
Full citation:
Nelson, K. (2009). How and how not to make predictions with temporal copernicanism. Synthese 166 (1), pp. 91-111.
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